THE BOWLING GUY: Two-Handers 1, "Normal" Bowlers 0

by Jason Thomas January 15, 2012 23:43

The climactic telecast of the PBA World Championship took place Sunday and it was easily the best show of the year. The TV folks did a fantastic job of squeezing in every possible storyline imaginable (Ryan Shafer's past heartbreak, Sean Rash and Jason Belmonte's rivalry, Osku Palermaa and Belmonte's eerie similarities, Rash's World Series of Bowling dominance, etc.) so that, whichever way the bowling went, it was sure to mean something to us all.

Considering how well Rash and Belmonte had bowled in the World Series, a lot of folks (including me) were expecting nothing but a final featuring the two newly minted rivals, but Shafer and Osku had other plans. As you saw in the Pre-game warmup for the show, the bowlers were striking at will on the Rash-chosen Scorpion oil pattern and many people (including Storm/Roto-Grip ball rep Chris Schlemmer) expected a high-scoring affair, but the lane oil had other plans for that as well.

MATCH 1

Fans who might have been hoping for an all two-hander final had their hopes dashed in the opening match. Rash and Shafer zoomed out to games of 245 and 236, leaving the slow-starting two-handers behind to duel for the third and final spot in the next round. Coming down the stretch, Belmonte - who started hot and then suffered through some mid-game transition and a couple of poor shots - seemed to get it together heading into the final two frames. But he slammed a very familiar-looking stone 7 (a carbon copy of the one he left to lose the Plastic Ball Championship in 2009) in the 9th and finished with a 203. Osku, needing a double to advance or strike nine-spare to tie was forced to the second option when his second shot in the 10th left a pesky 10-pin. Luckily, Osku throws it 30 mph on his spare attempts because the only thing that looked like it could've knocked that 10-pin over on his spare shot was the wind as the ball blew by the 10-pin. After paramedics came in to defribrillate Osku's heart (just kidding, but mine definitely would have stopped) Belmonte and the burly Finn went to a one-ball sudden death roll-off.

Belmonte elected to lead off and left the bucket on a shot that sailed wide on him. Needing just 7 or better, Osku packed a strike and joined the others in the next match. According to Belmonte's Facebook page, the loss was "bitterly disappointing" and was really a big missed opportunity, considering the conventional wisdom that he gets tougher to beat in the eliminator format the longer he stays on the show. But the rest of the players heeded Randy and Chris Barnes' advice and got him out of there early.

MATCH 2

The second match of the day was a virtual dead heat all the way into the 9th, as all three players fought transition that was seeing their balls hook too early in the front and not enough on the back part of the lane. Rash looked like he might have it figured out until a wicked 7-10 split jumped up in his 9th frame and doomed him to a 193 score. After the miss, Osku caught a double for 217 and Shafer, looking to join Palermaa in the final, finally got the break he's been waiting for in 50 long TV appearances, rolling the 2-pin in consecutive shots in the 9th and 10th for 222 to secure his spot in the title match.

It was a cruel ending for Rash, after his complete domination of the qualifying rounds and really a pretty good game here in the finals. His consolation is that he has five more appearances over the rest of the World Series telecasts and clearly, the respect of his fellow competitors for what he was able to accomplish at South Point.

MATCH 3

As is often the case on these eliminator-format telecasts (and is also true in any show where more than one two-hander makes the finals), the longer it goes, the more the conditions favor the two-handed player. The reasons are detailed in this blog, and, using that logic, one would assume that Osku would have the advantage over Shafer heading into the final, due to the former's ability to generate the revs necessary to get left of the front-lane burn and around the back-end oil. But Shafer definitely has a few tricks up his sleeve, especially one that his fellow players refer to as "Voodoo roll" that allows the crafty veteran to stay right longer than most other players, thanks to his unique release.

But as the game progressed, it was clear that both players would need to make adjustments in order to combat the rapidly-changing environment, and heading into the 8th frame, both players were pacing sub-200 scores. Shafer made a good move (a ball change coupled with a move to the left) to give himself a chance to strike, but couldn't figure out the carry part of the equation, leaving flat-10s in the 8th and 9th to give Palermaa the opening he needed. After sniffing around all game, Osku found something late and put together a double in the 9th and 10th to shut out Shafer with a score of 203.

And just like that, Osku Palermaa became the second player from Finland - and the first two-hander - to win a PBA major title. The win was a huge boost for Palermaa, and caps off a great stretch in both his professional and private life that has seen him welcome a daughter into the world and now cash his biggest PBA check. And for those of you who think Palermaa lacks a little something in the personality department, check out this post-show interview and his cheeky, confident smile and sense of humor. It may be a little on the dry side, but it is definitely there.

Well, the year's first major is now in the books, but that doesn't mean there is not a huge amount of PBA-related things going on in the near future. The animal pattern finals now begin on ESPN, starting with the Bayer Viper Open next Sunday at 3pm ET (note the time change). Also airing Saturday and Sunday on Xtra Frame is the first-ever Xtra Frame Tour event - where a National title will be contested and awarded entirely on your online bowling channel. Don't miss a moment of the action and subscribe to Xtra Frame now (for just $7.99 a month or get a day pass for just $3.99) to see the champion crowned at Fountain Bowl in Fountain Valley, California!

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THE BOWLING GUY: TV Recap - The Field is Set

by Jason Thomas January 9, 2012 04:11

Well, did I lie? Last week I said this Sunday's episode of the PBA World Championship on ESPN would be filled with thrills, chills and spills - and the four players who comprised the Mike Aulby Division Finals did not disappoint.

A 300 game by Jason Belmonte! A tight finish between Mike Fagan and Brian Kretzer for the last spot in the title match. And a harrowing fall by rookie Josh Blanchard made this week's show by far the most talked-about telecast of the season.

Let's get right to the action because this group was fighting for the last of four spots (Osku Palermaa, Ryan Shafer and Sean Rash nailed down the first three) in the PBA World Championship finals next week on ESPN. Our opening match, unlike the scorefests we've seen the last two weeks, illustrated the difficulty of the Shark oil pattern (Belmonte's choice), with no one really looking 100% comfortable and two players (Belmonte and Blanchard) looking very lost indeed.

Blanchard began to unravel after flagging a 7-pin in the 2nd, following that miss up with two more open frames to give the rest of the guys a chance to breathe. Belmonte gave Blanchard hope however, as he struggled for the opening five frames, only holding on to an 18-pin advantage at the halfway point. Fagan was able to stay out of trouble throughout the match, while Kretzer, who likes to play well left with slow speed, seemed to have the best look of the finalists early.

As the match wore on, Belmonte settled down and began to hammer the pocket. Two rock-solid 9-pins after a double kept him from pulling away from Blanchard, but the young, recently graduated collegiate star just couldn't find it. When he left the 2-10 in the 9th, any outside chance he might have had went by the wayside, but on the spare attempt things went from bad to worse for poor Josh.

Throwing a brand-new spare ball, Blanchard hung up in the thumb - and I'm talking HUNG UP - as in, it didn't come off his hand. The momentum of the ball carried Blanchard awkwardly out onto the lane surface, where he then slipped and fell right on his keyster between the right edge of the lane and the right gutter. Like a gentleman, Belmonte went out to check if he was OK - he was - but the real damage was undoubtedly more to Blanchard's ego.

I can tell you that the moment was just as scary live as it was on tape - and equally as shocking. I wish I could say that I've never seen anything like this before - but I have. I did it myself during a PBA regional event. Of course, when I did it no one was there with a video camera (let alone ten HD ESPN cameras) and it didn't end up on youtube or yahoo's home page or Sportscenter.

One fan wondered on Facebook why the PBA didn't edit out the moment from the telecast to spare Josh the ignominy. My feeling on that is that Josh will make many more shows in the future and will experience a lot of success in the sport. Omitting it would have robbed Josh of the ability to gain new fans, plus what will be the satisfaction of redeeming himself the next time he finds himself under the TV lights.

The show went on in Match 2, and Randy and Chris Barnes' astute observation that Jason Belmonte would start to get comfortable the longer he stayed on the show began to come true in a big way. Belmonte (and really everyone through the first half of the game) started to get lined in and the strikes began to mount. Both Fagan and Kretzer slowed down in the latter part of the match, but Belmonte continued to strike, staying perfect heading into the 10th. He threw three great shots there to cap off an astounding display of accuracy and power that saw him become the 21st player in PBA history to roll a 300 game on television (and a $10,000 bonus).

It was probably also the only time in PBA history that a televised match was not decided after the first player to finish shot 300. That's because Fagan and Kretzer were still close heading into the 10th. Kretzer finished first and had a chance to close out the match with 9 pins on his fill ball. He threw a rocket at the pocket that bounced off the headpin like Rodney Dangerfield's shot in this Miller Lite commercial (look for a cameo from the late, great Don Carter) and left a pocket 8-10. Fagan needed three strikes to tie. So what does he do? HE MAKES A BALL CHANGE!

That's right folks. A ball change. (A move that Chris Barnes said he liked and I also happened to agree). Fagan guessed right and struck on the first one, but the second shot hooked a bit high for a 4-pin, giving Kretzer a 231-220 win and the chance to get slaughtered by - oops, I mean - to bowl against, Belmonte.

Although Belmonte did begin to lose his reaction in the middle and then again towards the end of the final match, Kretzer seemed to be the one suffering from a "300 hangover" as he never was able to figure anything out in the title match. Belmonte's quick start buried Kretzer early and, by the time things started to get really interesting for Belmonte, he just needed to stay clean in the 9th and 10th to lock up the match. He did so, winning 196-179, and now we have an unbelievably great final four for next week's competition for the first major of the PBA season.

See you all next week!

PS - And if you're also upset that a guy falling down got more coverage in the national media than a guy throwing a 300 on TV with two freaking hands, then feel free to vent your frustrations in the direction of those responsible!

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THE BOWLING GUY: Why Does Everyone Suck on TV?

by Jason Thomas January 5, 2012 04:50


It sure does seem like there are a lot of critics out there these days, bashing any number of PBA players for their inability to convert TV appearances into titles. And statistically speaking, they've got a point. Chris Barnes has "just" 13 titles to show for his 75 career TV apps. Sean Rash hasn't won a title in four years and nine shows. Heck, even Tommy Jones, who used to be as automatic on TV as a Keurig coffee maker is only one out of his last eight - and no one saw that one because it was the Japan Cup!

Jason Belmonte won his lone title in his first TV appearance - and has gone eight straight shows without a win. Bill O'Neill made ten shows before getting his first win - then he went on a tear and won three - and now he's 0 for his last three again with a haunting split in the 10th to exit the U.S. Open last season. Mika Koivuniemi made all four major finals last year - and the moment we probably remember most is that hellacious 10-pin miss at the Open to cost him the title to Norm Duke. Mika went one-for-four in those majors last year - and had to shoot 299-268 the last two games to get that done.

What about Duke? He's clearly got TV figured out, right? Well not exactly. 34 titles in 108 appearances looks very Barnesian indeed. Plus there was that little dry spell between '83 and '91 where he went 11 shows without a win. But clearly he's had it figured out the last 10 years, right? Wrong. Between 2002 and 2006 he went four for 20.

So what gives? Why does it seem like every player sucks as soon as the TV lights are switched on? It all comes down to the odds my friends.

ONLY ONE CAN WIN
On every telecast, there can only be one champion. So when four players make it to the show, you only have a 25% chance to emerge victorious. But certainly the "better" players have better odds on TV right? It turns out no. Walter Ray Williams and Earl Anthony, the two greatest players in bowling history are 50-50 on TV.

What that means is, even if you're seeded straight into the title match, your odds are only 50-50 of emerging victorious. And for every subsequent match you have to win to get to the title, your odds decrease accordingly - so they are only 25% if you have to win two matches and just 12.5% if you have to win three. Good luck with that.

One popular argument among some players is that if they just "did away" with TV, it would be more fair and they'd have more titles. Turns out that argument is wrong too. The top title earners of all time typically have just as many wins from lower seed positions as they do from the top seed - which means if there were no TV they'd have about the same number of wins as they'd have with it - and way less money in their pockets and fans who knew who the heck they were.

THE ENVIRONMENT IS DIFFERENT
The reason the top pros are so good at bowling is that they are incredible at making adjustments. But they are most incredible when they have a little bit of time to plan out those adjustments - like between blocks of qualifying or match play. Once they've seen how a set of lanes will break down, the pros are masters at "mapping out" their strategies and improving upon their efforts the next time around.

But on TV, there are no second chances. When you make the show in Columbus on 15 year-old Brunswick Pro Anvilane on the Shark pattern on an 80-degree day in March with one high rev-rate righty, one high rev-rate lefty and a righty tweener, that is the only time you are ever going to experience those conditions. And if you don't win on it, there isn't going to be a second chance.

What that does is it puts enormous pressure on you to try and plan for - and then adjust to - any possible situation you may encounter. And there are only about 6,482 possible situations. A guy might get hot and shoot 270 at your 250 in the opening match and look invincible. And then in game two he might miss a move and shoot 170 to lose to a 180 (making you really happy, knowing you would have had at least a 90% chance of shooting a better game than that - there's those odds again!)

Or the lanes might decide to change between your 8th frame and your 10th, requiring you to make a move - right as you're about to throw one of the most important, defining shots of your career. Do you go left and slow down your speed a little or just stay where you are and try to jam one in there?

Ryan Shafer, probably the poster boy for TV victimization in the history of the PBA (four titles in 50 TV appearances) had to make that decision in the PBA World Championship a few weeks back. It didn't work out and he gave Andres Gomez a chance to win. Then the odds jumped up and bit Andres. Maybe now you might just begin to understand why Ryan was so emotional after advancing to the PBA World Championship finals on January 15th.

The point of all this is...THESE PLAYERS DON'T SUCK! These players are the best in the world and the bowling format of TV just happens to be about the most slippery and difficult environment with which any athlete will ever be forced to contend.

So, when a guy who is obviously one of the best in the world at their sport just happens to be caught with the odds against him, maybe try to show a little sympathy and cut the guy a break. That's all I'm saying.

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THE BOWLING GUY: The Torch is Passed (Sort of)

by Jason Thomas January 2, 2012 03:22

After a one-week break for Christmas day last week, the PBA World Championship resumed on New Year's Day with a show that was heavy with strong personalities and lots of strikes.

The Johnny Petraglia Division finalists (Sean Rash, Pete Weber, Ryan Ciminelli and Nathan Bohr) were trying to join Osku Palermaa and Ryan Shafer in the January 15th finals of the season's first major championship. Rash had choice of oil pattern, by virtue of his utter dominance of the 40-game qualifying rounds. To put Rash's dominance into perspective, he led by 296 pins over his next closest competitor - Tom Smallwood - and by 455 pins over Weber, who was his closest competitor on the telecast. He outpaced Bohr, who qualified in the 16th and final position by 535 pins. That's more than 13 pins a game folks!

Like Smallwood, Rash picked the Scorpion oil pattern, largely as an offensive move (before Wes Malott became the current owner of that pattern, Rash was considered the "Scorpion King" on Tour) designed to allow the young superstar to play to his strengths. It wasn't long though before it was apparent that the pattern would seem to play to all four players' strengths and that this week's show would be a very high-scoring one indeed.

Weber, the hard-to-believe-he's-49-legend is still going strong, and he proved it with a stellar 279 opening game to lead the pack. Ciminelli, with the left side all to himself, shot a big 266, leaving Rash and Bohr to duel it out for the third and final spot in the second match. Rash had the advantage, heading into the 10th with a possible 269 max score, but he needed a double to shut out Bohr, who still had room for 259. After crushing the first one, Sean's close-out shot inexplicably crossed over brooklyn and left a 6-10. After converting, his 257 score left the door wide open and he no doubt went back to his seat believing he would suffer the same fate (an early exit) that had befallen fellow Brunswick staffer Smallwood in the previous week's episode.

Bohr, making his first career TV appearance and rocking a green vinyl belt, was the black sheep on the telecast, opting to play the extreme outside line - which is highly unusual on the longish 41-foot Scorpion pattern. But he made it work and now just needed a double and nine pins in the 10th to advance. He made a great shot, but a stubborn 10-pin would not cooperate, giving Rash a huge reprieve and the third spot in match 2 as Bohr's 236 final score was good, but not good enough.

The strike barrage continued in match 2, with Weber and his heir apparent Rash, both starting the game with eight straight strikes. Ciminelli, despite bowling well, ran into some carry problems and couldn't keep up, mustering a 219 and ending any hopes that a lefty might win this year's World Championship. Weber's strike run came to an end in the 9th frame when he left a solid 10-pin while Rash also missed in the same frame, going high for a 6-10. But their respective scores of 268 and 246 were more than enough to set up a battle between the last two eras' most polarizing and exciting players.

Fans may remember that these two were featured together during the 2010 Team Shootout telecasts (available in the Xtra Frame archives "Interviews" section) with Weber acknowledging that, of all the current players on Tour, Rash is the one that reminds him the most of himself. Rash replied by paying Weber and his family a compliment that was so touching it almost reduced Pete to tears. But now that they were facing one another for the first time on TV, all niceties were put aside in favor of attending to the business at hand, namely that third available spot in the World Championship finals.

Weber ran into some lane transition early and got off to a rough start, leaving an open frame in the first and ultimately making a ball change in the 4th. Rash continued his smooth sailing, but left a little wiggle room for Weber heading into the 9th and 10th frames. Weber's ball change paid dividends, and he did in fact "keep him honest" as he said coming off the approach after throwing two strikes in consecutive turns to give himself a max score of 245.

When Rash stepped up in the 10th, he needed strike, nine-spare or better to wrap up the win. With memories of his near game-losing brooklyn from match 1 no doubt still rattling around in his brain, Rash went with the high hard one this time, except it was more hard than high and skipped by the pocket to leave what looked like a 2-5. But somehow the headpin wiggled its way back onto the deck, knifed between the two pins and tipped them both over, giving Rash the luckiest strike since Bing Crosby tap-danced with Danny Kaye. Still needing nine, Rash pulled himself together and jammed one high for a 4-pin and the win. When Rash came back he was all smiles, and said to Weber something along the lines of "I just want to be like you." Weber shot back, "Well, then at least hit the pocket when you need it!"

Weber's comment was probably a little bit sour grapes said in the heat of the moment, but there was also a boulder-sized nugget of truth in it. To be considered a truly great player on Tour you have to be able to perform when you need it, and for the last four years Sean Rash has struggled to do that on TV. He says all the right things in interviews, and he continues to be one of the very best players in the world during the week, but he clearly hasn't figured out his "go-to" shot (like Roth's rocket or Walter Ray's frozen rope) that he can execute without fail when he needs it on TV. Sean certainly bowled well enough on TV to deserve the win this week, and his complete dominance of the field during the World Championship shows that he is clearly, if not the best, then one of the best two or three bowlers in the world today. The next step for Sean is finding a greater level of comfort on TV in do-or-die situations. Once he does that (and given the number of opportunities he's given himself lately it is sure to happen), then he will assume what seems to be his inevitable place as one of the greatest bowlers of all time.

Moving on to the production, I continue to enjoy Chris Barnes' presence in the booth, especially his very dry self-deprecating humor. His comment this week about his usual timing for leaving the 7-10 split made me LOL. But his technical analysis is also spot-on and it also gives Randy a great opportunity to show his vast knowledge of the sport when the two carry on high-level strategy conversations.

Next Sunday's show is another doozy I can promise you, featuring Jason Belmonte, Mike Fagan, Brian Kretzer and Josh Blanchard competing on the nasty Shark pattern for the fourth and final spot in the PBA World Championship finals. Be ready for some chills, spills (literally - one of the finalists actually takes a very scary fall!) and thrills coming up this Sunday at 1pm ET!

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THE BOWLING GUY: Top pba.com Stories of 2011

by Jason Thomas December 29, 2011 04:00

As 2011 comes to a close, let's take a look back at the most popular stories of the PBA year. The stories listed here are ranked according to the number of page views received, and show an interesting perspective into the tastes of PBA fans and just what kinds of things piqued your interest in this busy, eventful year in bowling. What I can tell you is that you seem to like the majors, Bottlegate, one player's courageous coming out statement and big announcements about the PBA Tour. In case you missed them the first time around, click on the links to refresh your memory on the details of these popular stories from 2011.

TOP 20 NEWS STORIES

#1 - Mika Koivuniemi Wins PBA Tournament of Champions

#2 - Walter Ray Keeps Title Streak Hopes Alive

#3 - Koivuniemi's Missed 10 Pin Hands Norm Duke Lumber Liquidators U.S. Open Title

#4 - Jurek Earns Top Seed for Bayer USBC Masters Finals

#5 - JASON THOMAS: Rash Calls Out Belmonte During Shootout Taping

#6 - PBA to Return to Non-Exempt Tour for 2012-2013 Season

#7 - Tom Hess Wins First Lumber Liquidators PBA Title in Bayer USBC Masters

#8 - Three Days of Live Television Set as 68th Lumber Liquidators U.S. Open Returns to New Jersey

#9 - Smallwood Relives Fairytale - Advances to PBA Tournament of Champions Finals as Top Qualifier

#10 - Rash Releases Statement Addressing Recent Televised Incident

#11 - Duke Earns Number 1 Berth for U.S. Open Finals

#12 - Fifty Players Advance to Elite Field in PBA Tournament of Champions

#13 - Ciminelli Wins Earl Anthony Memorial for First PBA Tour Title

#14 - Belmonte Comments on Recent Televised Incidents

#15 - Fagan Earns Top Qualifier Honors in PBA Bayer Viper Open

#16 - 2011-12 PBA Season Begins with World Series of Bowling, Concludes with Tournament of Champions

#17 - PBA Spare Shots: Rash Fined, Belmonte Responds in GEICO PBA Team Shootout Bottlegate Incident

#18 - PBA World Championship Division Pods

#19 - PBA Rookie of the Year Scott Norton: "Being gay doesn't define who I am as a person or as a professional athlete"

#20 - Barnes Upsets O'Neill to Win PBA World Championship - Completes Triple Crown


TOP 5 BLOGS

#1 - MIKE J. LANESIDE: Tournament of Champions Player Odds

#2 - JASON THOMAS: Four ESPN Shows Will Determine Playoffs Champ

#3 - JASON THOMAS: U.S. Open Week and Season Storylines

#4 - THE BOWLING GUY: Lane Grooming 101

#5 - MARK BAKER: Comparing the Greats of My Era to Today

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